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1.11 Our absolutely indeterministic universe

We are now ready to put together all the previous sub-steps to show that our universe is absolutely indeterministic. This is the first step in our quest to glimpse the higher reality.

The hidden variables of the de Broglie-Bohm theory were not ruled out by the Bell Inequality (because the Bell Inequality only rules out local hidden variables). So, at first sight, it looks as though we cannot rule out the possibility that hidden variables underlie all interactions in the universe, which would mean that, in principle, the outcomes of these interactions are predictable. If we go back to the double-slit experiment – the one that Feynman regarded as encapsulating the very essence of quantum mechanics – we can imagine an electron following one of the detailed, convoluted paths described by the de Broglie-Bohm equations, starting at one of the double slits, and going all the way to its destination on the detecting screen. If that’s what happens, then the universe is deterministic rather than indeterministic, because every twist and turn of the journey, as well as the final destination, can be predicted.

However, what the de Broglie-Bohm theory doesn’t tell you, because it can’t, is exactly which slit the electron has come through and, in particular, the exact point where, within the breadth of that slit, its path begins. The detailed shape of each path from the slit to the detecting screen is described precisely by the theory, but on the question of which of the indefinitely large number of these paths the electron takes, the theory is silent! It is literally a matter of chance which particular path the electron takes. In this context, the de Broglie-Bohm theory is actually statistical. So, although the theory is grounded in the electron having a defined position and momentum at every moment along its path, which particular path itself is not determined by the theory. In other words, the de Broglie-Bohm theory does not, after all, scupper the claim that our universe is indeterministic.

In case you have any remaining doubt about ruling out the de Broglie-Bohm theory as an argument against indeterminism, there is a more fundamental reason for rejecting it. As we have seen, for entangled particles, the matching between Alice’s and Bob’s measurement outcomes can’t be accounted for by local hidden variables. So, quantum theory is nonlocal. However, that doesn’t mean that a message is somehow transmitted instantaneously – faster than the speed of light, which is forbidden by relativity – from Alice’s detector to Bob’s detector. That’s not how it works – there is nothing Alice can do to influence Bob’s result to make it match with hers. Quantum mechanics as developed by Heisenberg and Schrödinger, while remarkably successful, didn’t take account of special relativity (more of which later), and, in particular, the speed-of-light limitation of how fast information can get from place to place. Paul Dirac (who was the first to apply the mathematics of Hilbert spaces to quantum mechanics) later upgraded the theory to make it relativistic, and this was eventually developed by others into the modern quantum field theory that regards particles as excitations of fields (so the photon is an excitation of the quantum electromagnetic field, and the electron is an excitation of the quantum electron field, and some of these quantum fields interact with each other, which we see as particles interacting).

While the nonlocality of quantum mechanics didn’t prevent it from being upgraded to quantum field theory, the de Broglie-Bohm theory is even more nonlocal than the original quantum mechanics ever was. In de Broglie-Bohm theory, the guiding wave for a particle is shaped, from moment to moment, by the position of all of the particles in the universe, instantaneously, and any movement of any particle affects all the others reciprocally! This seems to be a show-stopper with regard to modifying the theory to comply with relativity. Furthermore, the theory resists all attempts to modify it to accommodate the creation and annihilation of particles, which, in contrast, quantum field theory takes in its stride. So, while the de Broglie-Bohm theory has served its purpose, with Bell’s help, in drawing attention to the nonlocality of the universe, we have nevertheless exhausted all the arguments for using it to make a case against the universe being indeterministic.

One loophole remains, however. Returning to the double-slit experiment, before we could rule out any possibility of the electron having both a definite position and momentum on its way to the detecting screen, we wondered whether the unpredictability of its final destination on the screen might be due to stray field excitations in its path, subjecting it to buffeting which could, in principle, be accounted for if we knew exactly where all these stray excitations were. Well, rather than thinking of the electron as a kind of miniscule cannon ball, a more accurate description of the electron would be an excitation of the quantum electron field: in other words, we might visualize the electron as a stable combination of waves in the field. Might these waves interact with the random, stray fields that we had originally pictured, giving the impression of randomness, whereas, if we only knew the exact configuration of these stray fields, the point on the screen where the electron is finally detected would be completely determinable?

Let’s make the question more quantitative: we can use the experiment where two entangled particles travel in opposite directions, and Alice and Bob incline their detectors at a mutual angle of 120º, noting how often their results of spin measurement match each other. According to quantum mechanics, and, as verified by experiments of the type conducted by Aspect and those who came after him, the proportion of matches to the total number of experiments is ¾. However, this doesn’t mean that, if Alice and Bob carry out a sequence containing 100 experiments, they will always find precisely 75 matches and 25 non-matches. In practice, 100 measurements might yield only 71 matches (with 29 non-matches). So, they try again: this time it’s 80 matches. Again: it’s 77 matches, and so it goes on. If they repeat the sequence of 100 measurements often enough, and plot the results on a histogram, they’ll find something like the next Figure, which shows the results of conducting 100,000 sequences of experiments, with each sequence containing 100 experiments (so this is showing the results of 10 million measurements, and is actually a computer simulation).

If a sequence contained only one experiment instead of 100, there would be only two possible outcomes: either there would be a match or there would be a no-match. If the sequence had two experiments, then there would be three possible outcomes: two matches, one match or no matches. This illustrates the fact that there is always one more possible outcome than the number of experiments – in 100 experiments, there are 101 possible outcomes. In the Figure, these are plotted along the x-axis, beginning at zero and ending at 100. As there happen to be 100 experiments, I have labelled the x-axis in percentages, but it could equally well have been called bins, or something else.

Plotted on the y-axis is the number of sequences, each containing 100 experiments, that Alice and Bob carry out. So, looking at the histogram, you can see from the peak (of around 9,200 sequences) that sequences containing 75% matches are the most common finding, which, from what we saw earlier, is what you would expect from spin-filters inclined at a mutual angle of 120º. However, there is still a substantial number of sequences (about 4,500) where only 70% of the 100 experiments yielded a match, and, similarly, where as many as 80% of the outcomes matched.

Alice and Bob carry out 100,000 sequences of entangled-spin experiments, where there are 100 experiments in each sequence. With their detectors at a mutual angle of 120º, quantum mechanics predicts that 75% of their measured spins will match. In practice, not every sequence will have 75 matches: the diagram shows the expected distribution.

The takeaway message is that, in these experiments, although the overall ratio of matching outcomes is predictable (in this case, three out of four outcomes match), nevertheless, there is generally an element of randomness, or uncertainty, in the process. This is manifest by the fact that the plot in the Figure isn’t concentrated into a single vertical line at 75%, but is spread out over a good 20% of the x-axis.

Imagine plotting the landing point of golf balls aimed from down the fairway at the hole in the green. Of course, the intention is to get the ball in the hole each time, but there are very few successes, and the plot will show a wide scatter of impact points, clustered around the hole. The factors responsible for the scattering include eddy currents in the wind, muscle twitches during the golf swing, and so on.

The question is, could the spread of percentage of matching outcomes in the Figure arise in the same way as the random impacts on the green, just as we imagined the electron field in the double-slit experiment being buffeted by stray interacting fields? Could the fields of Alice’s and Bob’s particles have been subject to equivalent buffeting on their way to the two spin-filters, or, indeed, could the spin-filters themselves have been subject to buffeting, all contributing to the spread of outcomes in the Figure ? If the answer is “yes”, then we have lost the argument that our universe is indeterministic, because all such buffeting could, at least in principle, be used to predict the outcome in every single experiment.

There are at least two distinct ways in which we can answer the question. Thinking of the double-slit experiment, suppose that the randomness with which the electrons are detected on the screen is as a result of the quantum electron field being buffeted by other interacting fields between the slits and the screen. In that case, if we move the screen progressively away from the double slits, then, as we increase the distance, we should expect the cumulative amount of buffeting to increase accordingly, gradually smearing out the individual fringes on the screen. However, apart from the scale increase expected as a result of spreading the pattern over a wider area, the fringes never lose their shape. This militates against the idea of the randomness resulting from stray fields, in turn, weakening the case for a deterministic universe.

We can use the same answer for Alice’s and Bob’s entanglement experiment. Just as we did for the double-slit experiment, we can point to the fact that, if the spread of measurements shown in the Figure is the result of buffeting from quantum fields, then we should expect the peak to widen if the distance between Alice’s and Bob’s detectors increases. In fact, the distance between the detectors has no effect on the spread, suggesting that the randomness isn’t caused by interaction with quantum fields.

In fact, there is a more direct way to show this, and it is illustrated in the second Figure of “EPR with spins”. Remember what happens when Alice’s and Bob’s spin-filters are parallel-opposed to each other, mutually inclined at 180º. In that case, every pair of the measurements made by Alice and Bob match – no exceptions. In a sequence of 100 experiments, the number of matches is 100: it is 100% with zero non-matches. Nothing has changed from the arrangement in where the spin-filters are mutually inclined at 120º, except for the inclination of the spin-filters. The random, stray electromagnetic and other fields, if they were there before, then they’re still there. But clearly, they have no effect on the outcomes of entanglement experiments when the spin-filters are parallel-opposed, and so we have to conclude that the spread in the histogram is not due to stray fields either. So, in both the double-slit experiment and Alice’s and Bob’s entanglement experiment, we have eliminated stray quantum fields as the source of any observed randomness. So, we have exhausted all possible deterministic explanations for observed randomness in our universe: we have reached the first milestone on our journey: our universe is absolutely indeterministic.